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1.
Front Public Health ; 10: 1070870, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2199554

ABSTRACT

Background: The high infection rate, severe symptoms, and evolving aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic provide challenges for a variety of medical systems around the world. Automatic information retrieval from unstructured text is greatly aided by Natural Language Processing (NLP), the primary approach taken in this field. This study addresses COVID-19 mortality data from the intensive care unit (ICU) in Kuwait during the first 18 months of the pandemic. A key goal is to extract and classify the primary and intermediate causes of death from electronic health records (EHRs) in a timely way. In addition, comorbid conditions or concurrent diseases were retrieved and analyzed in relation to a variety of causes of mortality. Method: An NLP system using the Python programming language is constructed to automate the process of extracting primary and secondary causes of death, as well as comorbidities. The system is capable of handling inaccurate and messy data, this includes inadequate formats, spelling mistakes and mispositioned information. A machine learning decision trees method is used to classify the causes of death. Results: For 54.8% of the 1691 ICU patients we studied, septic shock or sepsis-related multiorgan failure was the leading cause of mortality. About three-quarters of patients die from acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), a common intermediate cause of death. An arrhythmia (AF) disorder was determined to be the strongest predictor of intermediate cause of death, whether caused by ARDS or other causes. Conclusion: We created an NLP system to automate the extraction of causes of death and comorbidities from EHRs. Our method processes messy and erroneous data and classifies the primary and intermediate causes of death of COVID-19 patients. We advocate arranging the EHR with well-defined sections and menu-driven options to reduce incorrect forms.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Respiratory Distress Syndrome , Humans , Natural Language Processing , Electronic Health Records , Pandemics , COVID-19/epidemiology
2.
Healthcare (Basel) ; 10(3)2022 Mar 04.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1731993

ABSTRACT

Revisiting the classical model by Ross and Kermack-McKendrick, the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model used to formalize the COVID-19 epidemic, requires improvements which will be the subject of this article. The heterogeneity in the age of the populations concerned leads to considering models in age groups with specific susceptibilities, which makes the prediction problem more difficult. Basically, there are three age groups of interest which are, respectively, 0-19 years, 20-64 years, and >64 years, but in this article, we only consider two (20-64 years and >64 years) age groups because the group 0-19 years is widely seen as being less infected by the virus since this age group had a low infection rate throughout the pandemic era of this study, especially the countries under consideration. In this article, we proposed a new mathematical age-dependent (Susceptible-Infectious-Goneanewsusceptible-Recovered (SIGR)) model for the COVID-19 outbreak and performed some mathematical analyses by showing the positivity, boundedness, stability, existence, and uniqueness of the solution. We performed numerical simulations of the model with parameters from Kuwait, France, and Cameroon. We discuss the role of these different parameters used in the model; namely, vaccination on the epidemic dynamics. We open a new perspective of improving an age-dependent model and its application to observed data and parameters.

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